Most impactful
Available after 20 classified plays and three WP swings of 5 pp or more.
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Getting the latest game report from ESPN.
Getting the latest game report from ESPN.
Jacksonville’s 33–10 win was driven by a two-turnover advantage, better offensive efficiency—45.5% success rate and 5.82 adjusted yards per play versus Baltimore’s 37.0% and 4.2—and stronger field position, starting drives at its own 36 on average compared with Baltimore’s 26. The Jaguars also converted trips inside the 40 more efficiently, while Baltimore’s 46 penalty yards to Jacksonville’s 24 added to the disadvantage.
A full bar marks a large historical gap for that factor and view. Live bars use completed games as a reference, so their scale is provisional. Tied, unresolved, and low-sample comparisons have no bar.
WP is win probability; pp means percentage points. EPA estimates points added by a play and may become available after the next play.
J. Moody kicks 65 yards from BLT 35 to JAX 0. J. Cameron pushed out of bounds at JAX 23 for 23 yards (J. Higgins).
(Shotgun) T. Lawrence pass short right to T. Koziol to JAX 27 for 4 yards (T. Simpson).
T. Lawrence pass deep right to N. Boerkircher to BLT 21 for 52 yards (M. Humphrey).
B. Tuten right tackle to BLT 17 for 4 yards (T. Simpson).
(Shotgun) T. Lawrence pass short left to J. Meyers pushed out of bounds at BLT 1 for 16 yards (C. Awuzie).
(Shotgun) W. Milum reported in as eligible. T. Lawrence pass incomplete short right to N. Boerkircher.
C. Rodriguez right tackle to BLT 1 for no gain (R. Smith).
B. Tuten left guard for 1 yard, Touchdown. C. Little extra point is GOOD, Center-R. Matiscik, Holder-L. Cooke.
Official Timeout at 11:20.
C. Little kicks 62 yards from JAX 35 to BLT 3. R. Ali to BLT 35 for 32 yards (Q. Morris).
(Shotgun) Direct snap to D. Henry. D. Henry right end to BLT 41 for 6 yards (K. Merriweather; T. Walker).
(Shotgun) C. Vinson reported in as eligible. D. Henry right end to BLT 49 for 8 yards (F. Oluokun).
(Shotgun) Z. Flowers left end to JAX 42 for 9 yards (V. Miller; F. Oluokun).
(Shotgun) D. Henry right tackle to JAX 39 for 3 yards (J. Hines-Allen).
(Shotgun) C. Vinson reported in as eligible. Direct snap to D. Henry. D. Henry left end to JAX 34 for 5 yards (F. Oluokun).
(Shotgun) Direct snap to D. Henry. D. Henry pass short middle to Z. Flowers to JAX 37 for -3 yards (T. Walker, V. Miller).
(Shotgun) J. Fagnano pass short left to J. Hill pushed out of bounds at JAX 35 for 2 yards (A. Johnson; J. Hines-Allen). The penalty was assisted by replay.
J. Moody 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-N. Moore, Holder-R. Eckley.
Official Timeout at 06:31.
J. Moody kicks 65 yards from BLT 35 to end zone, Touchback to the JAX 35.