Game 401872994 | NFL Game Explainer

Most impactful

LARQ5 · 4:16 · 4th and 5 from the BUF 30Score BUF 34 · LAR 34

Blocked Field Goal

H. Mevis 48 yard field goal is BLOCKED (G. Rousseau), Center-J. Cardona, Holder-E. Evans.

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeBUF +40.3 pp17.7% → 58.1%

BUFQ5 · 8:48 · 2nd and 16 from the BUF 21Score BUF 34 · LAR 34

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) J. Allen pass short middle to K. Shakir to LA 22 for 57 yards (K. Kinchens).

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeBUF +34.0 pp40.8% → 74.8%

BUFQ5 · 8:00 · 1st and 10 from the LAR 22Score BUF 34 · LAR 34

Fumble Recovery (Opponent)

J. Cook up the middle to LA 22 for no gain (N. Landman). FUMBLES (N. Landman), RECOVERED by LA-A. Donald at LA 20.

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeLAR +22.6 pp25.2% → 47.8%

LARQ5 · 6:30 · 2nd and 10 from the LAR 44Score BUF 34 · LAR 34

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) M. Stafford pass deep right to P. Nacua to BUF 35 for 21 yards (C. Bishop; T. Bernard).

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeLAR +22.5 pp59.1% → 81.7%

LARQ5 · 7:15 · 2nd and 7 from the LAR 23Score BUF 34 · LAR 34

Pass Reception

M. Stafford pass deep middle to D. Allen to LA 44 for 21 yards (C. Gardner-Johnson) [D. Walker].

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeLAR +19.4 pp47.9% → 67.2%

All plays 206

QuarterListed teamBenefitedPlay typeOutcomeSort

LARQ1 · 15:00 · from the LAR 35Score BUF 0 · LAR 0

Kickoff

E. Evans kicks 61 yards from LA 35 to BUF 4. R. Davis pushed out of bounds at LA 26 for 70 yards (E. Evans).

Play EPALAR −3.45 points

Win probability changeBUF +9.4 pp

BUFQ1 · 14:50 · 1st and 10 from the LAR 26Score BUF 0 · LAR 0

Rush

J. Cook up the middle to LA 23 for 3 yards (N. Landman).

Play EPABUF −0.07 points

Win probability changeLAR +0.6 pp

BUFQ1 · 14:13 · 2nd and 7 from the LAR 23Score BUF 0 · LAR 0

Pass Incompletion

(Shotgun) J. Allen pass incomplete deep middle to D. Knox.

Play EPABUF −0.58 points

Win probability changeLAR +1.6 pp

BUFQ1 · 14:08 · 3rd and 7 from the LAR 23Score BUF 0 · LAR 0

Sack

(Shotgun) J. Allen sacked at LA 31 for -8 yards (J. Stewart).

Play EPABUF −2.17 points

Win probability changeLAR +4.5 pp

BUFQ1 · 13:23 · 4th and 15 from the LAR 31Score BUF 0 · LAR 0

Field Goal Good

T. Bass 49 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R. Ferguson, Holder-T. Doman.

Points scoredBUF +3

Play EPABUF +1.61 points

Win probability changeBUF +3.5 pp

BUFQ1 · 13:23 · from the BUF 35Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Official Timeout

Official Timeout at 13:23.

Play EPAUnavailable

Win probability changeNo measured change

BUFQ1 · 13:23 · from the BUF 35Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Kickoff

T. Bass kicks 58 yards from BUF 35 to LA 7. A. Bachman to LA 30 for 23 yards (J. Solomon).

Play EPABUF −0.33 points

Win probability changeLAR +1.0 pp

LARQ1 · 13:18 · 1st and 10 from the LAR 30Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) M. Stafford pass short left to C. Parkinson pushed out of bounds at LA 33 for 3 yards (C. Benford).

Play EPALAR −0.30 points

Win probability changeBUF +0.8 pp

LARQ1 · 12:41 · 2nd and 7 from the LAR 33Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

M. Stafford pass short left to P. Nacua to LA 37 for 4 yards (C. Benford).

Play EPALAR −0.23 points

Win probability changeLAR +0.4 pp

LARQ1 · 12:02 · 3rd and 3 from the LAR 37Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) M. Stafford pass short left to P. Nacua to LA 41 for 4 yards (C. Benford).

Play EPALAR +1.12 points

Win probability changeLAR +1.7 pp

LARQ1 · 11:25 · 1st and 10 from the LAR 41Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Penalty

Penalty on LA-K. Dotson, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at LA 41 - No Play.

PenaltyFalse Start on LAR — 5-yard penalty; no play

Play EPALAR −0.52 points

Win probability changeBUF +3.1 pp

LARQ1 · 11:11 · 1st and 15 from the LAR 36Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Rush

K. Williams up the middle to LA 43 for 7 yards (C. Gardner-Johnson).

Play EPALAR +0.16 points

Win probability changeLAR +1.8 pp

LARQ1 · 10:31 · 2nd and 8 from the LAR 43Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

M. Stafford pass short right to P. Nacua ran ob at BUF 48 for 9 yards.

Play EPALAR +0.96 points

Win probability changeLAR +2.8 pp

LARQ1 · 9:54 · 1st and 10 from the BUF 48Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) M. Stafford pass short right to K. Williams pushed out of bounds at BUF 48 for no gain (C. Benford; T. Parker).

Play EPALAR −0.50 points

Win probability changeBUF +2.5 pp

LARQ1 · 9:20 · 2nd and 10 from the BUF 48Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

(Shotgun) M. Stafford pass short right to T. Higbee to BUF 39 for 9 yards (T. Bernard).

Play EPALAR +0.61 points

Win probability changeLAR +3.9 pp

LARQ1 · 8:40 · 3rd and 1 from the BUF 39Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Rush

(Shotgun) K. Williams up the middle to BUF 39 for no gain (T. Bernard; T. Sanders).

Play EPALAR −1.51 points

Win probability changeBUF +7.6 pp

LARQ1 · 8:00 · 4th and 1 from the BUF 39Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Rush

K. Williams left guard to BUF 37 for 2 yards (C. Bishop; D. Igbinosun).

Play EPALAR +2.13 points

Win probability changeLAR +7.7 pp

LARQ1 · 7:27 · 1st and 10 from the BUF 37Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Pass Reception

(No Huddle) M. Stafford pass short middle to P. Nacua to BUF 30 for 7 yards (D. Williams; C. Gardner-Johnson).

Play EPALAR +0.28 points

Win probability changeLAR +1.9 pp

LARQ1 · 6:51 · 2nd and 3 from the BUF 30Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Rush

K. Williams up the middle to BUF 21 for 9 yards (T. Parker). Penalty on LA-T. Higbee, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at BUF 25.

PenaltyOffensive Holding on LAR — 10-yard penalty

Play EPALAR −0.74 points

Win probability changeBUF +3.2 pp

LARQ1 · 6:25 · 2nd and 8 from the BUF 35Score BUF 3 · LAR 0

Rush

(Shotgun) B. Corum up the middle to BUF 32 for 3 yards (D. Williams; M. Hoecht).

Play EPALAR −0.18 points

Win probability changeLAR +0.2 pp

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Buffalo Bills won 37–34

Game factors

Plays

Most impactful

All plays 206