BALQ1 · 15:00 · from the BAL 35Score BAL 0 · IND 0
KickoffT. Loop kicks 65 yards from BLT 35 to end zone, Touchback to the IND 35.
Play EPABAL −0.48 points
Win probability changeIND +3.0 pp
INDQ1 · 15:00 · 1st and 10 from the IND 35Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass IncompletionD. Jones pass incomplete short middle to A. Ogletree.
Play EPAIND −0.61 points
Win probability changeBAL +1.9 pp
INDQ1 · 14:53 · 2nd and 10 from the IND 35Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass Reception(Shotgun) D. Jones pass short left to K. Allen to IND 42 for 7 yards (K. Hamilton).
Play EPAIND +0.18 points
Win probability changeIND +1.7 pp
INDQ1 · 14:10 · 3rd and 3 from the IND 42Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass Reception(Shotgun) D. Jones pass short middle to J. Downs to BLT 33 for 25 yards (K. Hamilton).
Play EPAIND +2.55 points
Win probability changeIND +5.3 pp
INDQ1 · 13:24 · 1st and 10 from the BAL 33Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass Reception(Shotgun) D. Jones pass short right to J. Taylor to BLT 31 for 2 yards (R. Smith).
Play EPAIND −0.35 points
Win probability changeBAL +1.1 pp
INDQ1 · 12:40 · 2nd and 8 from the BAL 31Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass Incompletion(Shotgun) D. Jones pass incomplete short middle to J. Downs (B. Washington) [T. Robinson].
Play EPAIND −0.69 points
Win probability changeBAL +1.4 pp
INDQ1 · 12:37 · 3rd and 8 from the BAL 31Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass Reception(Shotgun) D. Jones pass short middle to J. Downs to BLT 19 for 12 yards (K. Martin).
Play EPAIND +1.91 points
Win probability changeIND +5.5 pp
INDQ1 · 11:54 · 1st and 10 from the BAL 19Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Pass ReceptionD. Jones pass short left to A. Pierce to BLT 6 for 13 yards (R. Smith).
Play EPAIND +0.85 points
Win probability changeIND +1.9 pp
INDQ1 · 11:15 · 1st and 6 from the BAL 6Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Rush(Shotgun) J. Taylor right tackle to BLT 1 for 5 yards (M. Starks; R. Smith).
Play EPAIND +0.48 points
Win probability changeIND +1.5 pp
INDQ1 · 10:33 · 2nd and 1 from the BAL 1Score BAL 0 · IND 0
Rushing TouchdownJ. Taylor right end for 1 yard, Touchdown. S. Shrader extra point is No Good, Wide Right, Center-L. Rhodes, Holder-R. Sanchez.
Play EPAIND +0.61 points
Win probability changeIND +2.6 pp
INDQ1 · 10:33 · from the BAL 15Score BAL 0 · IND 6
Official TimeoutOfficial Timeout at 10:33.
Play EPAUnavailable
Win probability changeBAL +2.6 pp
INDQ1 · 10:33 · from the IND 35Score BAL 0 · IND 6
KickoffS. Shrader kicks 58 yards from IND 35 to BLT 7. C. Moore to BLT 49 for 42 yards (S. Shrader; A. Adebawore).
Play EPAIND −1.52 points
Win probability changeBAL +3.5 pp
BALQ1 · 10:27 · 1st and 10 from the BAL 49Score BAL 0 · IND 6
Pass ReceptionL. Jackson pass deep left to Z. Flowers to IND 2 for 49 yards (J. Walley).
Play EPABAL +3.81 points
Win probability changeBAL +9.4 pp
BALQ1 · 9:25 · 1st and 2 from the IND 2Score BAL 0 · IND 6
PenaltyPenalty on BLT-M. Andrews, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at IND 2 - No Play.
PenaltyFalse Start on BAL — 5-yard penalty; no play
Play EPABAL −0.76 points
Win probability changeIND +2.0 pp
BALQ1 · 9:04 · 1st and 7 from the IND 7Score BAL 0 · IND 6
RushD. Henry up the middle to IND 5 for 2 yards (L. Latu).
Play EPABAL −0.15 points
Win probability changeIND +0.3 pp
BALQ1 · 8:20 · 2nd and 5 from the IND 5Score BAL 0 · IND 6
Rushing Touchdown(Shotgun) L. Jackson left end for 5 yards, Touchdown. T. Loop extra point is GOOD, Center-N. Moore, Holder-R. Eckley.
Play EPABAL +1.56 points
Win probability changeBAL +4.2 pp
BALQ1 · 8:20 · from the IND 15Score BAL 7 · IND 6
Official TimeoutOfficial Timeout at 08:20.
Play EPAUnavailable
Win probability changeBAL +0.2 pp
BALQ1 · 8:20 · from the BAL 35Score BAL 7 · IND 6
KickoffT. Loop kicks 59 yards from BLT 35 to IND 6. S. McGowan to IND 30 for 24 yards (C. Moore).
Play EPABAL −0.26 points
Win probability changeIND +0.9 pp
INDQ1 · 8:15 · 1st and 10 from the IND 30Score BAL 7 · IND 6
RushJ. Taylor up the middle to IND 28 for -2 yards (T. Jones).
Play EPAIND −1.03 points
Win probability changeBAL +2.7 pp
INDQ1 · 7:38 · 2nd and 12 from the IND 28Score BAL 7 · IND 6
Pass Interception Return(Shotgun) D. Jones pass short middle intended for L. Treadwell intercepted by R. Smith at IND 32. R. Smith to IND 31 for 1 yard (J. Downs).
Play EPAIND −4.81 points
Win probability changeBAL +7.3 pp